Mortgages and home buying

Rent vs Buy: How to Compare the True Costs

How to compare renting and buying fairly, which costs people forget, and what decides the break-even year.

By Osama · Published October 13, 2026 · 9 min read

Whether to rent or buy is one of the biggest money decisions most people make, and the usual advice ("renting is throwing money away" or "buying is a trap") is too simple to be useful. The honest answer is that it depends on how long you will stay, what the home costs to own, how fast prices rise, and what you could earn on the money you do not spend on a down payment. This guide builds a simple model so you can see which of these matters most.

The short version

  • Buying has big up-front and exit costs, so it usually takes several years to catch up with renting. The break-even point is the number to find.
  • Rent is not "wasted" and a mortgage payment is not all equity. Early payments are mostly interest, and owners also pay tax, insurance and upkeep.
  • The result is most sensitive to how long you stay, home price growth and the return you could earn by investing instead.
  • In the example below, buying pulls ahead after about 12 years. Change the assumptions and that number moves a lot.

The costs of owning that people forget

A mortgage payment is only part of the cost of a home. On a $400,000 home with 20% down at 6.5%, the loan payment is $2,022.62 a month. Property tax, insurance and maintenance add to that, so the true monthly cost is closer to $3,147.62 in the first year.

Monthly cost of owning a $400,000 home in year 1Loan payment $2,022.62, property tax $500.00, insurance $125.00 and maintenance $500.00 add up to $3,147.62, compared with $2,400 of rent.Total: $3,147.62 per month64%16%16%Loan payment (principal and interest)$2,022.62Property tax (1.5%)$500.00Insurance$125.00Maintenance (1.5%)$500.00
The loan payment is only about 64% of the true monthly cost. Maintenance of 1.5% of the price a year is a common allowance, though it varies by home.

On top of that, buying has one-off costs: closing costs when you buy, and agent fees and closing costs when you sell, which are often 6% to 8% of the sale price in total. Renting has its own cost: rent usually rises over time.

The model

To compare fairly, imagine two people who start with the same cash. Both want the same home or one that rents for $2,400 a month.

  • The buyer pays a 20% down payment ($80,000) and 2% closing costs on a $400,000 home, takes a 30-year loan at 6.5%, and pays tax (1.5% of value), insurance ($1,500 a year) and maintenance (1.5% a year). The home rises 3% a year, and selling costs are 7%.
  • The renter pays $2,400 a month, rising 3% a year, and invests the down payment and closing costs, plus every month's saving if renting is cheaper than owning, at 5% a year.

Each year we compare net worth: the buyer's equity after selling costs, against the renter's investments.

Net worth from buying against renting over 30 yearsWith the assumptions in this guide, buying overtakes renting after about year 12. After 10 years buying is ahead by $-6,132 and after 30 years by $335,985.$0.0M$0.25M$0.5M$0.75M$1.0M051015202530Years$0.90M$0.57MBuy (home equity after selling costs)Rent (invested savings)
The renter starts ahead because there are no up-front or selling costs and the cash is invested. As the loan balance falls and the home rises in value, the buyer catches up around year 12 and pulls ahead.
View the numbers behind the first chart
YearBuy: net worthRent: net worthAhead
1$66,737$101,682Rent by $34,945
3$97,959$129,735Rent by $31,776
5$131,695$158,688Rent by $26,993
7$168,181$188,512Rent by $20,330
10$228,653$234,786Rent by $6,132
15$347,375$315,496Buy by $31,878
20$493,744$399,427Buy by $94,317
30$902,942$566,957Buy by $335,985

You can try your own numbers in our Rent vs. Buy Calculator. It uses a cost-based method rather than this net-worth comparison, so the figures will not match exactly, but the same inputs drive both.

What moves the break-even point

Two assumptions change the result more than anything else. The first is home price growth. If prices barely rise, equity builds only by paying down the loan, and buying takes much longer to win.

Break-even year by home price growthBreak-even is year 28 if prices grow 1 percent a year, 21, 12, 6, 4 at 2, 3, 4 and 5 percent.05101520253028 yrs1% growth21 yrs2% growth12 yrs3% growth6 yrs4% growth4 yrs5% growth
Faster home price growth shortens the wait dramatically. At 1% growth buying takes about 28 years to catch up in this model, against 12 years at 3%.

The second is the return on invested savings. If the renter can earn more on the money, renting stays attractive longer.

Break-even year by the return you earn if you rent and investIf renters earn 3 percent, 5 percent, 7 percent, 9 percent on their savings, break-even moves to year 7, 12, 30+, 30+.0510152025307 yrs3% return12 yrs5% return30+ yrs7% return30+ yrs9% return
A higher return for the renter delays break-even, and at 7% or more buying does not catch up within 30 years in this model. If you would not actually invest the savings, renting looks worse than this model suggests.

Other things the numbers do not show

  • Taxes. The mortgage interest and property tax deductions only help if you itemise, and the standard deduction is high enough that many owners do not.
  • Stability and control. Owning protects you from rent rises and lets you renovate. Renting gives flexibility to move for a job.
  • Risk. A home is a large, single, hard-to-sell asset, and repairs can be sudden and expensive.
  • Discipline. A mortgage forces saving. A renter only gets the investment result if they actually invest the difference.

A simple way to decide

  • If you expect to stay less than about 5 years, renting is usually cheaper in cost terms.
  • If you plan to stay for a decade or more and prices in your area are rising at a healthy pace, buying is more likely to come out ahead. With the costs in this example the break-even is 12 years, and it falls quickly when prices grow faster.
  • Check that the full monthly cost of owning, not just the mortgage, fits comfortably in your budget. The how much house can you afford guide shows how.

Common questions

Is renting really throwing money away?

No. Rent pays for housing, just as interest, tax, insurance and upkeep pay for housing when you own. Only the part of a mortgage payment that reduces the loan builds equity, and that part is small in the early years.

How long do I need to stay to make buying worthwhile?

It depends on costs and price growth. A common rule of thumb is at least five years, because buying and selling costs are large. With the assumptions in this guide the example breaks even after about 12 years, and other assumptions give anything from about 4 to 28 years.

What is the 5% rule for rent vs buy?

It is a rule of thumb that estimates the unrecoverable yearly cost of owning (property tax, maintenance and the cost of capital) at about 5% of the home price, and compares that with a year of rent. It is only a rough guide.

Should I count home price appreciation as certain?

No. Prices can rise, stay flat or fall, and they vary by area. Test several growth rates, as the charts above do, rather than relying on one.

Does a bigger down payment change the answer?

Yes. A larger down payment lowers the loan and interest, but ties up more money that a renter could invest. The effect depends on the mortgage rate compared with the return on investments.

Sources and further reading

This guide is for general education and is not financial advice. The results come from a simplified model with the assumptions stated, and ignore taxes and other factors. Local prices, rents and your situation can change the answer.

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